The big question. Was Saudi Arabia complicit in the Aden coup, or did Bin Zayed set it away from Riyadh's eyes?

The big question. Was Saudi Arabia complicit in the Aden coup, or did Bin Zayed set it away from Riyadh's eyes?


Several days after the Aden coup against Yemen’s legitimate government, the big question of Yemenis and those interested in Yemeni affairs and observers of the situation in the region is: Was Saudi Arabia complicit and agreed with Abu Dhabi on this step or was the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi orchestrated it away from the eyes of the Riyadh?

It is no exaggeration to say that this question and its answer concern many of Yemenis more than the coup itself, because the answer to it will clarify the vision for the future situation not only in Aden but also in Yemen as a whole.

Analysts and followers were divided into two teams, the first sees that the UAE carried it out alone without prior agreement with its ally, and another team confirms that there is coordination and agreement on what happened, and that the difference between the two countries is only a play; a third team waiting  the answer to the question based on how much Saudi Arabia is pressuring its ally to reverse the coup or keep the situation as it is and to go with it the legalization of the steps imposed on the ground.

The first team relies on Saudi positions announced in the form of statements or even writings by senior figures expressing the Saudi regime, as well as the high official bilateral meetings that took place during and after the coup, during which the Saudis informed Hadi regime of their absolute rejection of what happened. They promised measures to restore the situation before the coup, and it went so far as to say that they had bombed STC positions.

According to information obtained by Al-Masdar Online, President Hadi's government received messages of reassurance from the Saudi side during the start of the movements of the UAE's transitional forces, and even Saudi contacts with political and military leaders who were still in Aden.

It is important to note here that there are many Saudi writers and activists on social media who have launched a campaign of skepticism towards the UAE and the sincerity of its intentions and its alliance with Saudi Arabia has reached the point of accusing Abu Dhabi of arrogance, especially after the euphoria  that Emirati writers showed after the success of the coup.

Many analysts, as well as Arab and international media, went on to weigh this view, talking about the rift between the two allies, and saying that the recent visit of the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi to Saudi Arabia was aimed at repairing the damage that marred the relationship after the events in Aden.

What reinforces the hypothesis of shaking the relationship between the two parties is the UAE's sudden steps toward Saudi Arabia's main enemy, Iran, and Abu Dhabi's attempt to improve the relationship with it.

The other team believes that what happened was an understanding between Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and that it was not for Saudi Arabia to accept a fait accompli so that Abu Dhabi would not lose, but with the conviction that it was in its future interest.

This group relies on some evidence, including that Saudi agencies remained silent during the coup, and although they declared and informed the Yemeni side that they were against what was happening, they did not take practical steps to stop Abu Dhabi's movements, and information indicated that Saudi Arabia had promised to intervene but had done nothing.

The media reported that President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi met with Saudi officials and informed them of the seriousness of the situation at the time, and in exchange for the great support provided by the UAE to its transitional forces, the legitimate forces that lasted three days did not receive any support, but the Saudi military force that was near the presidential palace and remained a spectator.

It is noteworthy that the coalition did not issue an official statement until after the completion of the coup, which makes some consider it an indication of acceptance of what happened in Aden, and although the statement requested the withdrawal of the transitional forces threatened to bomb if its demands are not implemented, now and after several days nothing has happened and the situation remains the same, The transitional forces have continued to complete their control of all sites and have intensified raids and arrests and institutions in search of their opponents, whom they describe as "wanted".

However, the followers of the first opinion believe that these evidence, although real, Riyadh preferred not to make strong moves so as not to lose Abu Dhabi at all, and to resort to resolving the crisis calmly and amicably with the UAE and its followers in the field, and that the meetings that took place between the Saudi king and his crown prince and crown prince Abu Dhabi come in  this context.

Whatever the case, the days ahead will clarify the picture and answer this big question.


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